Sales picked up in February, but really took off in March, increasing 23.5% over February. Unemployment and mortgage interest rates remained stable, so the March sales increases are simply an expression of the season. Median sales price has been rising steadily since January, likely drawing more sellers into the market.
In addition to the seasonal increase in sales, you’ll notice from the graph below that we may be experiencing a decelerating market recovery. The success of 2013 may be explained by clearing of excess supply and pent up demand. Now in 2014, we are facing the reality of a very slowly growing economy. We can expect sales to follow their historic seasonal trajectory, but this year we may only see slightly more sales than we saw in 2012.